Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 3.114499 3.283359 3.461965 3.665911 3.893556 4.141282 4.433249
2025-06-29 2.752107 2.971258 3.214023 3.505943 3.851739 4.254076 4.766724
2025-07-06 2.516954 2.768588 3.057832 3.420984 3.874143 4.435102 5.207336
2025-07-13 2.416875 2.708127 3.055634 3.512149 4.115358 4.917895 6.135245
2025-07-20 2.307247 2.623886 3.013346 3.544945 4.283836 5.335700 7.097083
2025-07-27 2.256276 2.605412 3.048735 3.679499 4.608006 6.042173 8.780520
2025-08-03 2.190250 2.560763 3.043756 3.755721 4.858799 6.700248 10.743527
2025-08-10 2.092594 2.466763 2.963172 3.712909 4.917593 7.049666 12.310988
2025-08-17 1.974014 2.337287 2.823859 3.568637 4.790181 7.027327 12.971624
2025-08-24 1.886561 2.244783 2.729745 3.483423 4.749255 7.163943 14.215085
2025-08-31 1.826821 2.186505 2.679729 3.460537 4.811184 7.526764 16.590992
2025-09-07 1.772901 2.133193 2.633005 3.437768 4.868941 7.898465 19.611909
2025-09-14 1.696571 2.050067 2.545087 3.353329 4.824515 8.081974 22.640804
2025-09-21 1.617174 1.959825 2.442767 3.238946 4.712116 8.082323 25.023791
2025-09-28 1.557840 1.895642 2.376100 3.179148 4.700632 8.355455 30.806591
2025-10-05 1.540098 1.889717 2.396359 3.267862 5.005481 9.675040 64.958805
2025-10-12 1.510511 1.865052 2.386164 3.302755 5.206859 10.852304 252.388646
2025-10-19 1.501849 1.870276 2.422482 3.424750 5.636166 13.331726 NaN
2025-10-26 1.482257 1.858073 2.429982 3.494294 5.963423 15.961079 NaN
2025-11-02 1.443519 1.815255 2.385131 3.458775 6.013696 17.272442 NaN
2025-11-09 1.390160 1.748397 2.297760 3.333320 5.800423 16.715046 NaN
2025-11-16 1.349444 1.699538 2.238145 3.258954 5.718797 17.046545 NaN
2025-11-23 1.321316 1.668898 2.207240 3.239216 5.787008 18.624741 NaN